Case Study: A Blueprint for Strategic Reinvestment in a Shifting Economy

Client Profile:
Jamie Bond, a 50-year-old investor, is soon to receive the principal from his maturing NROCC bond, which had been his cornerstone investment over the past decade. Looking ahead, Jamie consults with his investment advisor to create a forward-thinking strategy that will preserve his capital, generate stable income, and maintain flexibility for future opportunities. Given his moderate risk tolerance, he is especially mindful of currency fluctuations and the broader economic shifts brought on by rising inflation and interest rates.

How to replace your NROCC income

On November 10th, 2024, investors will receive the balance of their principal investments in the NROCC 9.375% 2024 bond.

Today we will:

  1. Refresh our memory on the details of the NROCC bond
  2. Identify potential alternatives
  3. List the questions investors should ask their advisors when evaluating alternatives

A Refresher on what you own

Changing Gears: No bonds, now what?

When the interest rate environment changes, investors face unique challenges, especially when it comes to replacing a maturing bond. For instance, many local investors hold the NROCC (National Road Operation and Construction Company Ltd.) 9.375% bond maturing in November. They received 50% of the principal in 2023, when yields and coupons were at record highs, allowing reinvestment at similar or better rates for the medium to long term. However, just a year later, these investors will struggle to find comparable yields.

Finding a Home for Your Funds

We are now officially in the last quarter of the year, and some would say time flies when you are having fun. Although, many fixed income investors would probably beg to differ and say the last two years were not fun due to market volatility. How quickly we forget the opportunities the volatility presented!

NROCC Principal repayment: 2023 vs 2024 market dynamics

As the landscape of fixed-income investments continues to change, the upcoming maturity of NROCC (National Road Operation and Construction Company Ltd.) 9.375% bonds presents both opportunities and challenges for investors as they find themselves at a crossroads concerning their next steps. With the maturity date approaching in November 2024, it is crucial for bondholders to devise effective strategies for reinvestment. This juncture provides an excellent opportunity for investors to reassess their strategies, consider market dynamics, and make informed decisions regarding reinvestment.

The Fed Delivers Supersized Rate Cut: What’s Next for the Economy, Financial Markets, and Investors?

In a decisive move aimed at preserving economic expansion, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) recently cut its policy rate by a larger-than-expected 0.5% or 50 basis points (bps), bringing the federal funds target range down to 4.75%-5.0% from 5.25%-5.5%. This marks the first reduction in four years, signalling the beginning of a new easing cycle. The rate cut is an important step designed to gradually remove restrictive monetary conditions and ultimately reach a neutral rate of approximately 2.9%.

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